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Snowing At 1 AM

Good morning bloggers,

Who was up for last night’s snowstorm, well, maybe not a snowstorm but moderate snow fell for an hour or two at 1 AM:

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A band of snow moved across the KC metro area early Sunday morning.  Visibilities were under 1 mile at times with temperatures dropping.  Temperatures dropping into the lower and middle 20s caused some ice formation from the melting snow on some roads and there was a 22 car accident early this morning around 6 AM on 69 highway.

March Snow Dogs1Here is a picture of Breezy and Stormy getting out in the winter scene as the sun was rising early this morning.  The sun is out, but there is another fast moving system heading our way.  It will be sunny ahead of this storm today, and then a band of precipitation is likely on Monday, and it again may very well be in the form of snow.

Thank you for spending a few minutes reading the Action Weather Blog!  We will be analyzing the new data and updating your weather forecast on 41 Action News.

Gary

Friday Cold Front

Good morning bloggers, It’s FRIDAY!

Saturday update:  We will write up a new blog later today. Here is a link to the  Weather2020 blog

A cold front is approaching from the northwest. It is the leading edge of a pretty cold air mass that will be arriving this afternoon.

The colder air is lagging the front.  So, Saturday will be the day we feel the affects of this new and large cold air mass.  Behind the cold front in central Kansas you can see a pocket of gusty northwest winds.  So, when the front comes through 2-3 PM, you will notice a temporary gust of wind with the colder air moving in tonight.

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Saturday will see the colder air filter in as a weak storm system tracks out of the Rockies.  So, tomorrow will be a cloudy day with areas of snow in Nebraska.  These snow areas will head east into eastern Kansas and western Missouri Saturday night, but they will likely dissipate as they head east.  So, tomorrow night we may see flurries and a few snow showers (See Map Below).  Sunday will also be a cold day as a large Canadian high pressure builds in from the north and takes over much of the USA.  Temperatures in many locations will run 10 to 20 degrees below average.  Our average high is getting close to 60, so yes our highs will be in the low to mid 40s this weekend, (See Map Below)

SATURDAY NIGHT

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SUNDAY

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Then, if that was not enough a new blast of cold will come in early next week to replace the weekend cold air mass.  This new cold will be preceded by a small storm system that will spread snow across Iowa and Nebraska.  The southern edge may affect our area Monday afternoon and night with some light snow.

MONDAY 3 PM

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So, when will the 50s, 60s and 70s return?  The end of next week.  It may be Spring, but Winter does not want to leave!

Have a great weekend.

Gary and Jeff

Possible Debris Found On Australia Satellite Picture

Good morning,

Welcome to Spring! Spring begins just before noon today and it will feel like it with a warm-up to near 70 degrees.  We will go into our weather situation in a second, but first some possible debris was found southwest of Australia. If this is real, then it should be found with ground observation within the next 24 hours.  Here is a satellite picture from this morning:

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There aren’t any strong storm systems that should impact the search today.  Here is a higher resolution closer look:

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It this is any relationship to flight 370, then oceanographers and meteorologists, and other scientists, will have to analyze the currents to see where the plane would have gone down two weeks ago.  But, the first thing on the list is to verify that this debris is from the plane, or possibly not related at all.  So, we will see what is found today as the mystery of the missing flight 370. It has been almost two weeks now.  Let’s see what happens today.

Weatherwise in Kansas City we will get a nice day to enjoy this first day of spring. There is a RED FLAG WARNING that will be going into effect this afternoon.  A strong cold front will be coming through Friday and there will be some chances for precipitation, possibly snow early next week.  We need some moisture now!  There will be some precipitation opportunities in the next two weeks.

Have a great day!

Gary

One More Day

Good Morning Bloggers!

We have been keeping track of the countdown to Spring and we only have ONE MORE DAY!!! It sure doesn’t feel like spring is one day away though. Strong northwest winds this morning are making it feel very blustery.

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The winds picked up overnight as a low passed right through the area and the trailing cold front brought in a few light showers/sleet overnight.  Here is a look out side the morning where we have overcast skies.

ECMWF

Radar as of 7:30 AM:

GFS

This is all pushing off to the east this morning and we will see clearing skies from west to east later on this morning and winds will begin to decrease later on this afternoon.  Let’s finish up this last day of winter because you are really going to like tomorrow.

Here is the set up with GFS Model:

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We will have warm air advection beginning overnight tonight and into Thursday early morning.  Strong southwest winds will usher in the warmer air mass, but it will be a bit on the windy side tomorrow. South winds around 10-20 mph in the afternoon, but we will see plenty of sunshine.  Tomorrow is going to be the best day of the next seven days with temperatures jumping up into the lower 70s.

Have a great afternoon.

Kalee Dionne

A Mostly Dry Storm System Approaches

Good morning,

A storm system will move across the Kansas/Missouri state line this evening at the surface, with the upper level storm moving by overnight. This will bring us some strong south winds today ahead of the storm as the pressure gradient is pretty strong and the pressures fall. Here is a surface forecast for later this afternoon:

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There is  pretty decent chance of a few showers this evening and overnight as the upper level storm moves by, but this is really more of  wind producing storm for us, and when the wind shifts to the north tonight it should make some noise as it rattles the windows a bit.

After this goes by, another warm-up is likely Thursday before a pretty strong and dry cold front moves through Friday evening.  Have a terrific Tuesday!

Gary

Nice St. Patrick’s Day!

Happy St. Patrick’s Day Bloggers,

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It is a cold start to St. Patrick’s Day and if you are setting up for the parade or heading on out there today get that coat ready early. The weather will improve by later this morning with temperatures warming all the way into the 50s this afternoon.  Spring begins later this week and it will feature a warming trend with temperatures approaching 70 degrees again by Thursday.

The flow aloft is unblocked and moving fast and there will be a fast moving storm that will likely track north of KC on Tuesday. Here is a surface forecast map valid at 1 PM tomorrow:

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This storm will likely go by dry in our region.  The pattern will remain dry this week.  Have a great morning and please remember to get that designated driver on this St. Patrick’s Day!

Gary

Snow In Kansas City Early This Morning

Good Sunday morning bloggers,

Snow is falling across the entire KC metro area early this morning. There is one really nice band of snow moving across, and temperatures are just now dropping to 32°.  The temperatures will likely continue to fall to near 30° or into the upper 20s during the next few hours, but the significant snow will push to the south by mid to late morning.  Here is the precipitation shield as it was increasing at 5:45 AM:

Radar

The radar echoes were rotating south to southwest around the larger circulation, but also pushing south.  You can see a few of the snowflakes in this picture of Breezy and Stormy:

Snow dogs

Here is the surface map that was not very organized last night at just after 6 PM last night:

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It was 70 degrees with thunderstorms forming last night, and this next map shows the much more organized storm and snow falling in Kansas City at 6 AM:

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The bands of snow will continue developing with everything eventually pushing off to the south and east.  Have a great morning and bundle up if you are heading outside.  Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog!

Gary

Saturday Night Update: Surface Pattern Is Unique

Good evening bloggers,

Who is up tonight?  We will be tracking a developing storm that is unique to this LRC season.  Take a look at this 6 PM surface map:

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Take a look at the top of the map. Here it comes. 28° air is blasting south right now. This is incredible!  Now what will happen in KC.  The surface map that I just plotted is just so all over the place.

There will likely be a few thunderstorms, then some snowflakes, a cold blast, and then we can begin thinking more seriously about spring!

Gary

March Madness Hits Again!

Good morning bloggers,

Earlier in the week, on Tuesday, it went from 80° to snowing within 6 hours, with rain, thunderstorms, hail, and sleet as well.  This next weather set-up has the potential to do something similar.

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Kansas City Weather Time-Line:

  • Now-4 PM:  Mostly sunny with a south breeze at 5 to 15 mph, with gusts to 22 mph.  High:  72°
  • 4 PM-8 PM:  Increasing clouds with a 40% chance of showers or thunderstorms developing.  The wind gradually shifting to the east or northeast at 5-15 mph.  8 PM Temperature:  63°
  • 8 PM-Midnight:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy with a 70% chance of a few showers, and possibly a thunderstorm.  Wind shifting to the north at 20-30 mph. Midnight Temperature:  38°
  • Midnight-5 AM:  A 50% chance of showers with falling temperatures.  There is a chance of a mixture of precipitation.  North winds 15-30 mph creating cold wind chills.  5 AM Temperature 32°
  • 5 AM-Noon Sunday:  Very cold & windy with a 70% chance of a mixture of precipitation changing to snow before tapering off.  North winds 15-30 mph with wind chills near 10 degrees.  There is a chance of minor accumulations as temperatures drop to below freezing.  Right now it appears that there is a chance of a dusting to an inch, but there may be a narrow band that has more than an inch.  Temperatures dropping into the 20s.

 Weather Discussion:

The storm that will be responsible for bringing us this variety of weather is really not going to be very organized and for this reason alone there are still a lot of questions on how this will come together, but one thing seems certain that by 9 AM Sunday a huge precipitation shield and comma head will be developing just south and southeast of Kansas City.  Here is a map we showed on 41 Action News last night:

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As you can tell, just by looking at the above map, this is really going to become an organized storm that will produce a lot of precipitation south and southeast of Kansas City.  The forecast is a lot easier in many spots, but not here.

The things we know for certain:

  1. Today will be incredibly nice with temperatures warming into the 70s
  2. We will experience a strong cold front and cold blast tonight with temperatures dropping into the 20s

The things that are not clear at the moment:

  1. Will there be any organized precipitation in our viewing area at all, even with the rain part of this storm? We just aren’t in the right spot
  2. After the cold air arrives, will there be any organization of any precipitation in our viewing area?

The new data has come in and the time-line at the beginning is still valid. We are on the edge again.

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog.  Let us know if you have any questions or comments.  Check back in between now and noon for updates as we continue to analyze this storm system, and try to enjoy this beautiful day. We are now experiencing another rather dramatic 24 hours of weather. Thank you for sharing it with us in such a positive way!

Gary

The Weekend Forecast Has A Split Personality

Good morning bloggers,

We have a tough weekend forecast to sort through. The weekend will seem to have a split weather personality with great weather Saturday followed by a much colder and windy Sunday with possibly a winter storm system affecting us.

Kansas City Weather Time-Line:

  • Today: Mostly sunny & slightly cooler.  Breezy with southwest winds shifting to the northwest at 10-25 mph.   High:  63°
  • Tonight:  Clear and cold. It will be a nice evening at the Big 12 Championship. Low:  37
  • Saturday:  Increasing clouds late. Very nice with lighter winds.  High:  71°
  • Sunday:  Cloudy with a chance of rain or snow.  High:  37°

Weather Discussion:

The models have had widely varying solutions for how a storm will develop over the weekend.  We will have to see how this energy comes over the Rocky Mountains before we get a better handle on Sunday’s storm system.  Here is one model that came out last night showing the complex upper level weather pattern valid Sunday morning.  The jet stream will be diving south over western Kansas Sunday which will help carve out a developing storm system, but how this forms will decide how much precipitation we receive Sunday.  One thing that seems certain is that we will get another rather strong cold blast:

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We will look deeper into this system early this afternoon.  Have a great day. It’s FRIDAY!

Gary