Quantcast

Another Major New York Storm System As Spring Begins

Good morning bloggers,

The spring equinox, also called the Vernal Equinox, happens today at 12:15 PM eastern time, or 11:15 AM in Kansas City.  This date starts the astronomical first day of spring in the Northern Hemisphere.  The word equinox comes from Latin words which literally means “equal night”— aequus (equal) and nox (night).  On the equinox, the length of day and night is nearly equal in all parts of the world.   And, just as spring begins, another major winter storm is targeting the northeast. The storm that just brought the KC metro area its biggest rainfall amount since the late October storm, and brought Dodge City and Wichita, KS their first significant precipitation since October as well, is now intensifying into another huge northeastern storm system.

The New York City Forecast:

Screen Shot 2018-03-20 at 7.19.31 AM

I circled the snowfall forecast from the NWS as of this morning. Are you kidding me? They are forecasting 10 to 18 inches of snow over Central Park.  As this system went by Kansas City, KC was in the comma head yesterday but it was too warm to snow. We were finally in the perfect spot to have around a foot of snow near KC, and 2.04″ of rain was reported by one of the bloggers yesterday near Overland Park and Olathe.  If this comma head were snow, then this would have been huge, but it wasn’t snow.  At least we did get the rain, even though it missed some areas up north. The northeast is about to get bombarded yet again.

The Meteorology Behind This Storm:

1The blocking pattern that formed two to three weeks ago has had impacts on the west and east coasts. In KC there was no seeming impact as we have continued to not be in the right spot for any winter storm systems, and this block had little noticeable impact except for lots of cloudy days and this recent wet storm.  The influence of the blocking is finally about to fade. The blocking had the biggest affect on California as the Sierra Nevada mountains have been getting a nice series of storm systems to build up a little snow pack for the season after it was very dry until around three weeks ago.

On this map, you can see the storm forming near the northeast coast, a ridge moving into the middle of the nation which will lead to a warm surge to near 70 degrees on Thursday in KC. An even bigger ridge over the Gulf of Alaska, and another storm heading into California.

It is not supposed to be so easy to snow in New York City, especially as we move into spring. But, this storm is not going to have a problem. It is going to still be a difficult forecast however. Once again, predicting snowfall amounts is difficult to be so precise. It is just as difficult to predict rain. In KC yesterday, we were expecting 1/2″ to 1″ possible, and 2″ fell in spots, while 0.02″ fell in St. Joseph. If this were snow, we would have had to predict a dusting to 20″ to be accurate.  I would have loved to have the opportunity to forecast such a storm.

2

This forecast map above shows the surface forecast valid at 7 PM central time Wednesday. A return to south winds will begin the warming trend. The California storm will then weaken and move out into the plains Friday into Saturday. More on this system tomorrow, as the models are all over the place and confidence is low on any significant rain near KC.

Thank you for sharing in the Action Weather Blog experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Go over to Weather2020 to join in the conversation and let us know if you have any questions.  Just click on the blog over there!

Gary

 

Rain Spreading Across KC Today

Good morning bloggers,

A storm system is moving across the plains today and there is a fine line cut-off to the heaviest rain, and this line was shifting north into the KC metro area at 5:45 AM this morning. Take a look at this radar image:

Screen Shot 2018-03-19 at 5.37.17 AM

Thunderstorms! The area spreading north had embedded thunderstorms with numerous lightning strikes:

Screen Shot 2018-03-19 at 5.44.04 AM

Kansas City Weather Timeline:

  • Today:  Rain likely, heavy at times, with a few morning thunderstorms possible. Northeast winds 10-25 mph and gusty.  High:  48°
  • Tonight: The rain will shift east with a cloudy sky.  Low:  35°
  • Tuesday: There is a 30% chance of a few light showers. High:  46°

Here is the 7:40 AM Radar Image:

740

Kansas City is in the comma head of this storm, and we are finally in one when it isn’t cold enough for snow. Thunderstorms to the south continue to shift east and the heavy rain has made it north to near I-70.  The south side of the KC metro area will have the heaviest rain.

This surface map shows how everything will be shifting east by early to mid-afternoon.  This is another fairly strong surface cyclone with the low pressure area centered over northwestern Arkansas.

1

Let’s enjoy this storm this morning, and we will look ahead to what is happening in this weather pattern tomorrow and on 41 Action News today and tonight.  It is the last full day of winter!  Thank you for sharing in this weather experience. Go over to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation.

Gary

Trending to a Tricky Storm System

Good Sunday bloggers,

Our next storm system arrives later tonight and exits Monday afternoon and it is becoming a tough forecast as to who will see rain and who will not. What else is new around here? If you forecast for New England, all locations will see heavy rain and snow. And, if you miss the snow, well another massive storm will be around the corner. If you live in Amarillo, TX there is no chance of rain or snow until further notice. So, let’s go through this crazy forecast.

TODAY: We have been stuck in a band of low clouds that were left over from the storm system on Friday. In order for us to see the sun today they will have to break up as it will be hard for them to move away. Now, areas that see sun will see highs 50°-55° and locations that stay cloudy highs will be 45°-50°. Clouds from the next storm will be racing north as well.

1

SUNDAY NIGHT (MIDNIGHT): The next storm system will be near with rain and thunderstorms from around Topeka to Fort Scott and points southwest.

2

MONDAY MORNING: The rain will be most likely move north up into the I-70 corridor, but may stop it’s northward progress near St. Joseph. The wind will be from the northeast at 15-25 mph with temperatures around 40°, so in rain areas it will be a cold and wet start to the week.

3

MONDAY NOON: The storm will be tracking east quickly, so where the north edge sets up in the morning is where the north edge will stay with this system. We talked yesterday, how the storm will likely remain compact, but it could track farther north and that is what is trying to happen.

4

MONDAY EVENING: The storm system will be long gone in the Tennessee Valley leaving our area cloudy, windy and cool with highs in the 40s to low 50s. A second, smaller system is located to the west.

5

TUESDAY: The second system will move by with a few rain showers, there could even be a few snow showers, but this does not look like much of a system. Spring begins at 11:15 AM and it is looking like the coldest day of the week with highs in the 40s.

6

RAINFALL FORECAST: Kansas is in a drought emergency, so this is some good news as it looks like .50″ to 2″ of rain will fall from Hays to Wichita and points to the east. This should help out some of the Hard Red Winter Wheat crop. Now, let’s take a closer look at our area.

7

RAINFALL FORECAST (CLOSER IN): This is still not set in stone even with all the computer models showing this general solution. Rainfall amounts could range from zero in northern Missouri to .25″-.75″ along I-70 and .50″ to 2″ to the southwest of KC. You can see a shift of 50 miles north or south will make a huge difference on how much rain falls on your yard or farm.

8

Have a great week.

Jeff Penner

Looking for Rain can be a Pain

Happy St. Patrick’s day bloggers,

The best way to describe the weather is using limericks. We had a storm system on Friday that brought about .05″ to .25″ of rain. The next storm system arrives Monday and the data that was coming out Wednesday, Thursday and Friday was suggesting a widespread rain event with a possible change to snow. Well, when I got up to go to work this morning at 41 Action News I looked at the new data and said..Really?  Again? Yes, the new data is trending towards a smaller storm system that tracks too far south to bring our area much rain. And the snow chance…LOL.

Now, could the data change back to a wetter storm system? It could, but it is looking like a smaller storm system, so we are going to need a farther north track.

Let’s go through the next few days and once again we will focus on a storm system that may bring some locations a few drops of rain.

I lived in KC my whole life and have seen just about every kind of weather on St. Patrick’s day ranging from sunshine and 70s to snow. The 2018 version will be cloudy, dry and cold with a decreasing wind. So, if you are headed out, grab the jacket, but leave the umbrella at home.

1

DRUNK DRIVING WATCH: This is in memory of all of those who have been injured or killed in drunk driving accidents. PLEASE DON’T DRINK AND DRIVE!

8

SATURDAY: Low clouds left from the Friday storm system will hang tough. They will try to clear about 50-100 miles south of KC with possibly a few peeks of sun around KC before the sun sets. Highs will be 38°-43° in locations that do not see sun and 48°-52° in locations that do see the sun today.

2

SUNDAY: It will be dry in our area with clouds in and out. It will be warmer with highs 55°-60°, so a much nicer day. The next storm system is getting it’s act together in the Rockies. Rain and thunderstorms will be possible in southeast Kansas and Oklahoma along a warm front.

3

MONDAY: The storm system is trending, smaller, more compact and farther south. This means the band of decent rain is about 50-100 miles wide and as is, it looks like the northern edge of the rain is along I-70. So, we are going to need this system to either track farther north, or be bigger to bring a nice .25″ to 1″ of rain to all locations. This could still happen, but the trend is away from this, but we will keep an eye on it.

4

TUESDAY: A second, smaller system will move by Tuesday. This looked like it could bring snow, but this is trending towards just a few rain or snow showers. It will be a cold day with highs in the 40s.

5

RAINFALL FORECAST: Here we go again! It is looking like another trace to .25″ rain event with amounts .25″ to 1″ to the south. If the storm comes farther north, or ends up being bigger, then all locations will have a nice rain. The chance of it being a bigger system is 10% and the chance it tracks farther north is 30%.

6

KC 2018 RAINFALL DATA: There was about .20″ for most locations on Friday. This keeps us about 1″ below average for the month and year. We will continue to lose ground if these systems keep delivering the minimum. It will be interesting to see how these systems act around here the next 4-8 weeks.

7

Have a happy and safe St. Patrick’s day.

PLEASE DON’T DRINK AND DRIVE

Jeff Penner

Strong Surface Cyclone Tracking Across The Plains

Good morning from Cancun, MX,

It’s Friday, and the weather pattern is rather fascinating. Here in Cancun, Mexico it is finally warm and humid. It is the first humidity I have felt since I have been here, so the dew points were under 60 degrees near the Yucatan Peninsula due to the latest major eastern storm system that tracked off the east coast earlier in the week. It dragged a cold front all the way down into where I am vacationing.  This is actually important for the weather in Kansas City. The lower dew points down south have created this storm system to be lacking the moisture that it could have in a different year, a different set up. As we saw last year in March, there was a major severe weather outbreak near KC on March 6h, and this set up could certainly have produced one too, but take a look at this fascinating surface map I just plotted:

1

A strong surface cyclone is tracking across northern Kansas this morning. There is snow on the northwest quadrant of this storm, while KC had a band of rain already move by this morning. There is a narrow corridor of 55°+ dew points surging in from the south in the warm sector. The warm sector is the region between the warm front (red line) and the cold front (blue line). The black dashed line is a trough, or what is usually a dry line, but it isn’t quite one today, but it is close.  If the dew points were higher, then the severe weather risk would be much more enhanced, but they are not, and again, the weather I have been experiencing in Cancun, where you sort of needed a light coat at night the past few days, is a big factor.

day1otlk_1300

There is not even a slight risk today.  There is a marginal risk and it just appears that it is too cool, with the dew points too low, which reduces the amount of instability.  So, any risk of severe weather is quite low. We need to get thunderstorms generated first, and this is doubtful for this afternoon as strong as this system looks.

The next storm has my attention:

This storm takes a favorable track to produce very heavy rainfall near Kansas City:

Screen Shot 2018-03-16 at 9.49.02 AM

That is a 2″ bullseye right near KC on the latest NAM model. Don’t get too excited yet, as we have been through an entire season of non producing storm systems. But, could this one break the ice? This storm is actually directly related to the October 22nd to 24th part of the pattern in the first cycle. If you analyze closely you will see the similarities. Incredible comparison, and October 22-24 did produce heavy rain near KC.  This happened 147 days ago, or around a 49-day cycle. Remember, the pattern is cycling in the 44 to 51 day range, so this fits quite well.  We are moving into the spring version of this pattern. Last year the storm systems started producing right around this time of the year. This will be a big test for this year.

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Have a great day. I am going to enjoy my last day in Cancun to the fullest. I still like Hawaii better, and it is not even close, but today is a gorgeous day, so some pool time, sunscreen, and some basketball. Have a great day!

Gary

Tracking The Next Two Storms & Looking Deeper Into The Cycling Pattern; A Reason For The Northeastern Storm Systems

Good morning bloggers,

The weather pattern is absolutely fascinating today, so let me open up a discussion.

IMG_2734I am here in Cancun, Mexico, where the resort is beautiful, but the threat of danger being what it is we  have decided to stay on the resort.  This is somewhat disturbing to me, and one of the reasons I think Hawaii trumps all areas of Mexico.  Maybe you will disagree, but I like to get around a bit, and I just don’t fe el safe, but it is from what you here, so I am not sure what to believe, but I am being safe none the less.  This resort is beautiful, staying at the Marriott properties where the JW Marriott attaches to the Marriott on this beautiful strip.

It rained more in my first few hours here in Cancun, than it has rained in Kansas City all winter. The sun is rising now, so today may be our first sunnier day. It has been pretty much cloudy the entire time thus far.

As I started the blog, we are experiencing a fascinating weather pattern this year, this past fall and winter. It has left most of us in KC frustrated, but that is not the case in many other places.

The Current Weather Pattern: What Is Causing It?

5

The jet stream got energized and was forced south when the AO dipped into negative territory a couple of weeks ago.  What caused this? What caused this weather pattern that we just experienced during the past few months?  There are news stories out there right now discussing a potential reason why the northeast was bombarded this winter by some majorly impacting snow storms.  In a study published in the journal Nature Communications titled, “Warm Arctic episodes linked with increased frequency of extreme winter weather in the United States”, shows that severe winter weather, later in the season, has increased over the eastern United States since 1990. And, this seems to be coincident with the warming of the Arctic region near the North Pole.  It has been warming up there faster than any other part of the world.  The article then goes in directions that do make sense, but they are missing the biggest piece of the puzzle, and it is now published in the peer reviewed paper, “Cycling Patterns of the Northern Hemisphere; 70 years of research and a new Hypothesis”. The LRC!  The LRC is the largest and most important piece of this complex atmospheric puzzle:

Puzzle-2

The warming Arctic is just one influence on the pattern, but it was not the reason why the northeast got bombarded again this winter. It is not the reason why Kansas City had ups and downs and a record third straight winter below 10″ of snow. It is not the reason why Amarillo is at 150 days with only 0.01″ of rain and had practically no winter at all.  The warming Arctic is likely third or fourth down the list of influences on this cycling pattern. It is trumped by the weak La Niña winter we just experienced. The biggest ingredient is the Cycling Pattern Hypothesis, known by the bloggers here as the LRC.  Here is the link to this recently published scientific paper: The Cycling Pattern Hypothesis

Weather2020 made this bold prediction utilizing knowledge of the LRC:

Screen Shot 2018-03-05 at 11.50.50 PM

This forecast was made at the AMS conference in front of the meteorologists in attendance in Austin, TX. And, it is a forecast that was spot on, a long range forecast that verified for the big cities across the northeastern United States.  How can a forecast like this be made and then verify?  By having an understanding of the cycling pattern. The most recent northeastern storm systems were definitely influenced by a blocking pattern, where the Arctic Oscillation dipped deeper into the negative this season. This did influence the jet stream, strengthening it and dropping it farther south.  This, in turn, energized the storm systems. One of the main aspects of the LRC is that these quasi permanent anchor troughs and ridges set up within the cycling pattern. The northeast was near one of these features and thus they were in a spot that was influenced by the LRC first, then energized by the negative AO second, and also influenced by the La Niña currently in progress, amongst other factors.

Two Storm Systems:

1There are two storm systems lined up to affect the United States over these next five days. The map on the left shows the storm systems as of 7 PM tonight. These maps are modeling the 500 mb flow, around 18,000 feet up in the atmosphere.  500 mb is close to half way up through the atmosphere in weight. The top of the atmosphere has zero weight, and the pressure near the surface is around 1,000 mb at sea level; the average sea level pressure is 1013.25 mb to be exact.  So, 500 mb is about half way up and the best level to track these storm systems.

2Storm #1 does something that is a symptom of the entire season.  The storm moves northeast, just north of KC, then it turns southeast. This is actually showcasing one of the problems that existed in storm production in the heartland of the United States, near KC.  This storm then weakens, but then storm #2 is going to be influenced by some of the blocking that is left.  Storm #2 is likely going to be more functional and track south of KC.

3Storm #2 will take a track that “should” provide Kansas City with its best chance of wide spread precipitation in a very long time.  But, it likely still misses Amarillo, TX, and Dodge City, KS.

6This next map on the right shows the precipitation forecast over the next 5 days from the overnight GFS model. As you can see, 1 to 3 inches are now in the forecast near KC, but it is still modeled to stay bone dry over the Texas Panhandle, just incredible as they go past 150 days in a row with only 0.01″ total.  This storm, however, has a great chance to be more than just a rain producer in the plains. It will likely produce snow, and Kansas City may see some snow from this system as well.  But, temperatures will likely be too warm for any accumulation, but it must be watched closely, which you know we are all over this part of the forecast.

4

This surface forecast is valid Monday morning.  This is a sturgeon surface storm system and a rather strong upper level storm system helping create the conditions for this storm.  Let’s see how all of this evolves in the next few days.  Last year, it was around this time of the year when the rains arrived near KC after a very dry 2016-2017 winter season. Is it about to happen now, or is this just our one storm that seems to be lining up?

We also have storm #1, which is intensifying today at the surface, and then by Friday evening it looks like this below on the latest models:

7

Two storm systems to track; some exciting weather in KC.  I will be heading back to the United States safely on Saturday.  We will continue this discussion on the Weather2020 blog.  Click here to go to that site if you want to read the comments or join in the conversation:  Weather2020 Blog

So, as I started the blog, I am currently in Cancun, Mexico.  It rained again on my walk along the beach yesterday evening, and we had a deluge of rain when we first arrived Monday afternoon. I likely saw more rain Monday than I experienced all winter in KC.  Jeff Penner makes most of the forecasts for the 1Weather app in our 12 week forecasts. We forecast the weather for Cancun, and his prediction using the LRC was for it to be a cloudy and cooler week with rain. This forecast was made 12 weeks ago. Pretty good, and yes, I knew it would likely rain on this trip, but I am hoping for sunshine these last two days.

The pattern continues to cycle. It is fascinating, and this next ten days will be interesting, maybe even in KC.  Have a great day!

Gary

And the Beat Goes on, Another Dud Storm

Good Wednesday bloggers,

Today we have 100% sunshine, southwest winds gusting to 35 mph and humidity values between 15% and 25%. This is nice weather, but it leads to a very high fire danger. The only way to solve the fire danger problem is to receive a widespread soaking rain. Well, there is a storm system that will affect our weather on Friday and the last few days it looked like we could see .25″ to 1″ of rain. I am sure you can guess, especially if you’re a weather enthusiast, what the trend in the data is showing. Yep, we are down to a one to two hour band of rain Friday morning with amounts trace to .25″. Now, a few locations may see .25″ to .50″, but it is looking less likely.

There are two more storm systems to track next week, perhaps one of those will be more productive. The potential is there, but it will be hard to go for a decent rain until there is hard evidence that it is actually occurring.

It is what it is, so let’s go through this next system.

We are in a Fire Weather Warning until 7 PM, so be aware of this very high fire danger and use thought where you dispose of cigarettes.

8

WEDNESDAY: It will be a sunny and windy day with southwest wind gusts to 35, taking highs to the 60s. There is very little moisture in the air and the ground is quite dry, which leads to the very high fire danger. A cold front will be located along I-80, arriving to I-70 Thursday. This front will stall Friday playing havoc with our forecast.

1

THURSDAY: The front will be in the area, but it will be dry as dew points will be in the 30s and 40s. Highs will still reach the 60s with 80s in southwest Kansas. The fire danger will be high once again.

2

FRIDAY MIDNIGHT TO 7 AM: This is when we have the best chance of rain and perhaps a thunderstorm as the system from the western USA moves into the Plains. The front will be to the south, so temperatures will be in the 40s.

3

FRIDAY AFTERNOON: The rain moves off and the front moves north as a warm front, stalling near or just north of KC. Look at the temperature difference form south to north! Temperatures will range from the 70s just south of KC to around 40° in northern Missouri. So, the placement of the front is going to be critical to the high temperature you experience. This is why our temperature forecast for Friday-St. Patirck’s day has been all over the place. We are going to go around 60° for Friday in KC, but it could easily be 75° or 45°. We are leaning in the warmer direction.

4

RAINFALL FORECAST: Rainfall amounts will be mostly in the trace to .25″ range. If more thunderstorms form, then some locations could see .25″ to 50″. It looks like the best chance for heavier totals will occur in northern and central Missouri. Could this change and be more rain? Sure, but until we see the evidence this is our going forecast.

5

Have a great rest of your day and week.

Jeff Penner

A Huge Warm Up and Storm System

Good Tuesday bloggers,

We are tracking two main weather events the next five days as we motor towards Spring. First, we have a huge warm up for Wednesday and Thursday, into the 60s. Second, we have a storm system Friday and Saturday. Will this storm system finally bring us widespread decent rainfall?

WEDNESDAY: The day will start with lows in the 20s. Then, by afternoon with dry air, a brisk southwest wind and 100% sunshine we will warm forty degrees to the 60s!

1

THURSDAY: This is when the weather becomes more complex. A cold front will head south towards I-70 with highs in the 60s in KC to the 80s in southwest Kansas. Highs will be in the 40s and 50s across Nebraska and Iowa. High clouds will be increasing as Gulf of Mexico moisture flows north ahead of an approaching storm system from the Rockies.

2

FRIDAY MORNING: Ok, here we go. The cold front that came south on Thursday will stall from central Kansas to southern Missouri, becoming a warm front. This should be the set up for an active warm front which means widespread rain and a few thunderstorms across eastern Kansas and western Missouri with temperatures in the 30s and 40s. Snow is possible in Nebraska with temperatures in the 20s.

3

FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT: A surface low will be located in Kansas with a warm front extending east and southeast from the low creating a huge temperature contrast. Highs will be in the 70s south of the front with 30s/40s to the north. 20s will be found in Nebraska along with the potential for a snowstorm. Is there a chance of severe weather near the low and warm front? The dew points will not be high enough, but it is something to watch.

4

Now, this does look like exciting weather. The 12Z GFS even had snow in KC on Saturday. Remember, it is Tuesday and this storm is for Friday and Saturday. We know what has happened this season when we get closer to these systems, they trend towards duddery. So, let’s see how this looks the next day or two, but my goodness we are due for widespread precipitation and not every storm can be a nothing around here.

Have a great rest of the week.

Jeff Penner

How Would You Rate Winter In KC? I rated it a FAIL!

Good morning bloggers,

How would you grade winter? I give it a fail.  And, yesterday puts the icing on the cake.  Look at the little circle on the 500 mb chart that was the initial analysis on Sunday morning. That little circle near KC is an upper level low. You can’t make this up. A storm aloft was centered right over the northeastern part of KC and NOTHING. We didn’t even get a rain shower or a snowflake on Sunday near KC. It did snow over north central to northeastern Missouri, but in KC nothing. And, this is KC’s final exam. It gets a fail, and the winter gets a fail. We have completed our third straight winter at under 10″ of snow for the first time in recorded history, a record I am not proud of living through.

1

Ridiculous! Look at this again. I still can not believe it. We forecasted a storm to hit our region around March 11th-12th, and it has done it to us again. Wow! That circle is right over KC. And, nothing! St. Louis, also had under 6″ of snow as of yesterday morning, but they got into the comma head yesterday afternoon. So, St. Louis went from a D to a C or B.

Screen Shot 2018-03-11 at 1.49.23 PM

So, how would you rate winter in Kansas City? It gets fail from me, and so will Amarillo, Dodge City, but not Los Angeles. Los Angeles had one of its driest seasons ever. It would set the record for the driest winter season ever, but this March is coming through with, perhaps, enough rain to go just over the lowest total ever recorded. So, I will give Los Angeles a D.  I will give New York City an A+ for exciting, fulfillment, and production. This weather pattern has been fascinating, and now we are moving into spring.  What does it mean for spring? More on this coming up soon. Spring begins now with a clean slate. It better not fail.

This picture was taken near the end of the KC Pet Telethon. We raised $114,000 last night, and in my 18 years at this event we have raised over $2 million for the Humane Society of Greater Kansas City. This is Sunny The Weather Dog who, along with all of her friends, helped out tremendously!

Screen Shot 2018-03-12 at 3.05.20 AM

Thank you for sharing in this Action Weather Blog experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Go over to Weather2020 and click on the blog over there to provide your grade and join in the conversation. I am on my way to Cancun, MX today. The Kansas City Pet Telethon went very well last night, and thank you to everyone who donated for a great cause benefitting the Humane Society of Greater Kansas City. I will check in later in the week. I need to truly get away.

Gary

Another Storm, Another Miss Part 3

Good Sunday bloggers,

We are tracking a storm system moving into Missouri and it is missing western Missouri, shock. It is not only missing our area, but it will become a big storm for the Tennessee Valley and New England. So, the beat goes on.

Here is Weather Track Radar from 630 AM Sunday. There is a large area of snow from central Iowa to northeast Missouri. Eastern Kansas and western Missouri will see sprinkles and flurries as the storm system tracks southeast.

10

SUNDAY NOON: Snow and rain will be occurring in central and eastern Missouri with mostly wet roads as temperatures will be around or above freezing and the snow is falling during the daylight hours in March. Now, that being said, if you are headed east today, be aware of some slick/slushy spots. The heavier snow areas will cause slush on roads.  Eastern Kansas and western Missouri will see some sprinkles and flurries, but another miss.

1

MONDAY MORNING: The storm system will be intensifying as it moves through the Tennessee Valley. Our area will have lingering low clouds with lows 30°-35°. There may be slick spots in central and eastern Missouri.

2

MONDAY AFTERNOON: The sun will return as highs climb to around 50°, a nice day. Our little storm system reaches the east coast and is ready to rapidly intensify.

3

TUESDAY: Wow!  The northeast is experiencing their third large storm in 10 days. This will likely cause more travel delays across the country as the big airports get affected by wind, rain and snow.

4

SNOWFALL FORECAST: Right now it looks like the heaviest snow will stay offshore of the big cities and affect northern New England the most. Boston still may see 6″-10″ of snow with NYC seeing 1″-2″. A slight track shift and this changes quite a bit. Needless to say, it is another big storm system.

5

As the storm system churns through the Tennessee valley, it looks to target Kentucky with 6″-10″ of snow.

6

And, here we are. We sit in Kansas and Missouri where KC receives no snow and northeast Missouri receives a dusting to 2″ of snow.

7

The weather will be mostly calm through the next week and we will see a major warm up to highs around 70° by Thursday. Our next storm system arrives next weekend, but it is trying to miss us as well. We will have more on this through the week.

Have a great week.

Jeff Penner