Hard to argue with weather this nice for late October. After a foggy start, the sun really did its thing today and helped push our temperatures into the upper 80 degree range. These were the highs around the area today:
I think we’ll be even warmer on Sunday. The winds will be stronger as well, out of the South around 15-25 miles per hour and gusts near 30mph at times. All-in-all, it’s going to be a great afternoon but some may argue it’s too warm for this time of year. For those who prefer cooler air, you’re wish will be granted soon enough. Take a look at the temperature trend as we go through the next several days.
Notice that sharp drop on Friday? Indications suggest a cold airmass will drop in from Canada and settle in over the Midwest/Great Lakes area. We’d be on the edge of this cold air, but could be enough to get our attention by Saturday morning. If the GFS is correct, this is how the setup would look.
Right now, I’ll forecast a morning low of 33° for Saturday. But should that high shift a little more to the West, we may have to drop that temperature. This is why I say, enjoy Sunday as much as you can because true Fall is going to try and come back. That said, the GFS and Euro both indicate the cold air will be pushed out and we’ll start to warm back up.
One key issue, however, is that there was a major satellite data outage earlier this week. It started on Tuesday and as of Thursday, it has not been fully fixed yet. What does that mean? All of the forecast models we use to forecast the weather require data from the various sensors on the ground (temp/dew point/wind/pressure/etc), but also from data the satellites give us (such has cloud temperatures). When that data is missing, then the big equations that are crunched by the super-computers to output a model forecast can be way off. If you’d like to read more detail on all of this, here’s a good article from the Washington Post.
So we’ll need to see if this sudden shift in the overall weather is bad data from the models, or if the cold is really planning to pay us a visit.
For the Royals tonight in San Francisco, wind could play a factor in their game. Tonight the winds are going to be breezy (on the order of 10-20mph) through the game and blowing out. This may help the ball carry just a bit farther. Here’s an idea of how the winds will blow across the ballpark in San Francisco tonight:
I know many will be keeping an eye on the Royals game tonight, so here’s to hoping they do well. I have a feeling this series comes back to KC. But that’s not a bad thing; not at all.
Enjoy the warm and windy Sunday. I’ll have another blog post Sunday evening and we’ll talk more about the spooky Halloween forecast.