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The Next Round Of Thunderstorms

Good morning bloggers,

Tornadoes damaged communities from northeast Oklahoma into Missouri. Carl Junction, MO, just northwest of Joplin,  Here are the storm reports from yesterday:

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The Kansas City viewing area was pretty much skipped over by the worst of last nights storm, and thank goodness.  Jefferson City has some significant damage from what looks like an EF 3 tornado, and Carl Junction, again just west of Webb City north of Joplin, produced this:

Carl Junction

Today’s risk is back to the west:

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This is the week we targeted to be one of the two big weeks for severe weather four months ago, and we are in the middle of it now.  There may be another big week when the “blizzard part of the LRC” cycles back through.  We called it that because of the Kansas City blizzard on November 25th, but that part of the pattern also produce a one foot snowstorm and a 10″ rainfall event in other cycles, and that is still two to three weeks away.  What also happened in that part of the pattern?  Major Hurricane Michael developed and blasted into the Florida Panhandle.  Weather2020 has predicted Michael, Gordon, Florence, and Alberto in the past year, all weeks to months before those storms had a cloud.  And, Harvey, Maria, and Irma the year before.  We will be monitoring closely for a tropical storm in that June 5 to June 15 window.  And, as you know, and I will post it again here because we are sharing something quite special with you over the past few years/  Did you know that the bloggers named the LRC? I just called it my theory back in the early 2000s, and you all named it.  Regardless of what it is named, we are sharing something special. Here again is that forecast for this week:

1Weather App From January 13

I think we can all agree, that this 127 day forecast issued January 13th and posted on the 1Weather App, has verified.  And, the risks keep coming.

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There is a trough hanging out aloft over the southwestern United States, and a summertime anticyclone, or upper level high height area, centered over the Florida Panhandle.  It will be close to 100 degrees over the southeastern United States this weekend, and there is enough flow over the plains to produce the conditions for more tornadoes and severe thunderstorms.

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This HRRR model shows the thunderstorms organizing way out west at 10 PM tonight. I lean in this direction, which brings any thunderstorm risk and severe weather threat a bit later tonight.  I still have some more analysis to do.

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Go over to Weather2020.com and click on the blog there and join in the conversation as we share more of the LRC with you and share in this weather experience.

 

Gary

 

 

PDS Tornado Watch South Of KC

Good evening bloggers,

The SPC has issued a PDS, Particularly Dangerous Situation Tornado Watch for areas south of KC. Our region will have an initial risk and then it will shift south and east by 10 PM or so.  Let’s see how this evolves:

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There is a warm front south of KC, which will be the focus. Thunderstorms ignited early, and if they organize fast, then the risk will shift southeast a bit.  We just have to watch this evolve.

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Let us know what you are experiencing by sharing on the Weather2020 blog.

Gary

Tornadoes In NE Kansas Yesterday & Today’s Enhanced Slight Risk

Good morning bloggers,

The powerful storm that lifted northeast, and got pushed out by a second system dropping into the southwestern states, produced the conditions for a sudden small outbreak of tornadoes in the Kansas City region yesterday.  Take a look at this tornado 1 mile south of Effingham, KS, northwest of KC.  The picture was taken by Dalon Coder. Thank you Lori and Dalon for sharing this with us and wow.

Screen Shot 2019-05-22 at 6.31.04 AM

There were 38 tornado reports yesterday and likely around a half dozen tornadoes that touched down over northeastern KS.  One cell intensified right over KCI Airport, but it never quite got its act together.

Today’s Risk:

day1otlk_1200The Storm Prediction Center has placed an Enhanced Slight Risk just south of Kansas City, with the slight risk extending up into the KC area.  There is a little boundary stretching out of yesterday’s big storm, and interacting with the energy from the new developing southwestern system.

hrrr_ref_frzn_ncus_16A strengthening warm front will be developing over the southern plains. This warm front will extend east out of a surface cyclone forming over northeastern New Mexico.  Conditions will become favorable for thunderstorm development by mid-late afternoon, and then the activity will likely organize into a small complex of thunderstorms and shift south.  The first few hours of the development will likely lead to a few supercell thunderstorms with a tornado risk. From the SPC:  “Supercells with tornado potential are possible in central and northeastern Oklahoma into southeast Kansas late this afternoon. A significant tornado may occur from near Tulsa northward into far southeast Kansas where the strongest low-level shear is forecast during the early evening.”

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This is the area of potential strong tornadoes, and it does include parts of the KC viewing area.  So, quite obviously we have to monitor this quite closely today.

Thursday’s Risk:

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The risks will keep coming in the next few days.  We will look deeper into Thursday into Saturday’s risks tomorrow.  Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading and sharing in this weather experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.   Go over to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation.

Have a great day!

Gary

The Rain Keeps Coming

Good morning bloggers,

There were 50 to 60 mph winds overnight while you may have been sleeping. The first disturbance went by, and as the rain ended there was sinking air, and this “subsidence” caused the blast of wind we had from 2 AM to 5 AM this morning.  KCI Airport had a 51 mph wind gust at 2 AM, and a 52 mph wind gust at 5 AM.  Incredibly, in most years, 99 out of 100 of them, that would have prevented the next round of rain from coming up here, but not this year.  Not only is an organized area of rain and thunderstorms moving in, but it is strong enough to reduce any severe weather risk in our area to near zero.

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Our severe weather risk is once again being reduced significantly by a huge area of rain moving across.  Here is the 6:45 AM radar as I was writing the blog this morning:

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We are already up to 2.25″ of rain for this storm, and this is before this huge area of rain and thunderstorms had arrived.  The threat of severe weather will go way down once this line move through, the line that you can see on this radar image in red. It was approaching KC from the southwest.  2 to 3 more inches of rain are possible with this area of rain.

I just saw a radar tweeted from the NWS, and my weather mind went into motion as I knew I had seen this in a previous cycle, and there it is. The cycle length of this years pattern was calculated months ago to be 48.6 days.  Now, just look at this:

Screen Shot 2019-05-21 at 7.26.24 AM

The map on the left was this morning, and the map on the right was from our blog on December 26th, 146 days ago or 48.6 times 3.  You can’t make this up bloggers! The LRC shows the Order in Chaos! Here is the article that was just published in Meteorological Technology International Magazine:

Screen Shot 2019-04-28 at 5.05.06 PM

This storm is rather vigorous and the kicking storm is strong too.  You can see this storm now forming over Kansas with a strong wave moving north in very diffluent flow, where the lines spread apart over Kansas. And that kicking storm is something we will discuss tomorrow.

eta18hr_500_vrt

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Go over to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation!

Gary

High Risk: A Powerful & Dangerous Storm Predicted 120 Days Ago By Weather2020

Good morning bloggers,

There is a HIGH RISK of severe thunderstorms over parts of Oklahoma and Texas today.  A powerful storm is developing and it will produce severe weather risks the next couple of days.

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We will go in-depth in today’s blog entry, and we will begin with a discussion of how the LRC has been used to make yet another incredibly accurate prediction for this week’s severe weather and flooding risks!

This storm approaching and developing over the plains was predicted to arrive this week by Weather2020 on January 13th, or 127 days ago.  As I am sure many of you have been noticing, the accuracy this season has been rather remarkable, and this is yet another example.  Look at this forecast that has been unchanged in the 1Weather app database since we issued the forecast in January:

1Weather App From January 13

We have had our weather prediction pulse beating on this year’s pattern with accurate forecast after accurate forecast.  Remember, our prediction for this winters snowfall total in KC was 26″ from myself, and 27″ from Jeff Penner by using our knowledge of the LRC.  Kansas City had 29″ of snow this winter.  Add onto that the accurate prediction of the January 12th snow storm 45 days before it happened, and it was down to the date as we got 15 days out predicting a major snowstorm possible on January 12th. What happened?  12″ of snow in the KC metro area, which impacted tailgating for the Indianapolis/Chiefs game out at Arrowhead stadium.  And, this is following many years of increasingly accurate predictions, including the 8-month prediction of Tropical Storm Gordon, and the 55-day prediction of Major Hurricane Harvey the year before.  And, the incredible prediction for the weather outside at the 2014 Super Bowl in East Rutherford, NJ  where the forecast of “no snow and temperatures warming into the 50s” verified, while other forecasts were calling for brutal cold and snow.  How is this being done?  By understanding the cycling pattern and the peer reviewed LRC.  Over 30-years of research is now coming to fruition in these accurate forecasts.

As many of the bloggers and viewers at KSHB remember, we predicted that the second half of May would be wetter than the first half of May, and this latest prediction was made before May began.  We ended up with 3.59″ of rain in the first half of May, so the bar was set pretty high.  Kansas City is currently sitting at 2.11″ so far in the second half of May, and a lot more is on the way……..so much more rain, that we have been working hard at preparing Kansas City and surrounding regions for a potential extreme weather event.  Predicting extreme weather days, weeks, or even months ahead (which is what Weather2020 has done many times in recent years) is quite difficult. Predicting an extreme event a day or two ahead of time is hard.

This storm developing now is absolutely fascinating.  How will it come together today?  Let’s take a look:

severeAgain, there is a High Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of Oklahoma and Texas.  From the Storm Prediction Center:    “An outbreak of strong tornadoes and severe thunderstorms is expected today across parts of the southern and central Plains. In addition, many of the storms will have very large hail and wind damage. The severe threat will be concentrated from west Texas and the Texas Panhandle eastward across Oklahoma, Kansas, into western Missouri and western Arkansas.  An impressive and potent upper-level trough will move quickly eastward across the Desert Southwest today as a powerful 75-90 knot mid-level jet rounds the base of the trough.

141Ahead of the system, a corridor of strong instability is forecast across the Southern Plains from west Texas into the eastern Texas Panhandle and eastward into western and central Oklahoma. This combined with steep mid-level lapse rates and strong low-level shear will be very favorable for severe thunderstorms.  As the mid-level jet ejects northeastward across the southern High Plains this afternoon and evening, a tornado outbreak is likely across the southern Plains.  The tornado outbreak is expected to continue into the overnight period. This event should result in a significant threat to life and property.

This next map on the right shows the climatology for where severe weather is most likely on May 20th, right over Tornado Alley.

The set up is far from easy to explain, in other words, complex:

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This map above shows the upper level flow at the 500 mb level, or around 18,000 feet up.  There is a big ridge aloft extending from Mississippi northwest to the North Pole. This is splitting the jet stream with one stream over northeastern Canada, and another powerful jet stream being forced south over the southwestern United States. There is an upper level storm intensifying over the Four Corners states today and this energy will move out over the plains tonight.  And, then this happens:

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The powerful storm forms into a closed upper low over Nebraska Tuesday night into Wednesday, with a second strong storm diving south over California, and this will back up the surface features, and Kansas City will never really have any cold front passage, or it may have an Occluded front get to near KC, and then it will fall apart and back up in response to the southwestern storm.  More on this tomorrow.

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The best chance of any severe weather near KC will come from the Tuesday Occluded front (purple), warm front, and dry line.  Notice how KC will not have a wind shift to the north.

Flash Flood Watch:  KC is under a Flash Flood Watch.  And, an extreme rain event is possible in the next two to ten days.  Look at the rainfall forecast from last night’s Canadian Model for the next ten days:

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This rainfall forecast shows extreme rain amounts over a large area of the United States. KC is in the 15″ range.  With storm systems continuing to drop into the southwestern United States, it will continue to force the fronts to approach KC and stall. Where the focus of thunderstorms is from day to day will have to be analyzed on a day by day basis. It appears that these fronts will be stalling in a position to bring many more thunderstorm chances to our region, and KC is a target for the highest rainfall amounts.

Kansas City Weather Timeline:

  • Today:  Increasing clouds and dry through 4 PM. After 4 PM there is an increasing chance of rain and thunderstorms. The chance of rain increases to nearly 100% by 8 PM or near sunset.  Heavy rain is possible on the leading edge, but the leading edge may weaken a bit as it approaches.  High:  60°  Wind: East to northeast at 5-15 mph.
  • Tonight:  A 100% chance of rain and thunderstorms.  It will be heavy at times.  1″ to 3″ likely with flooding possible. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect.
  • Tuesday:  Becoming sunny after 4 PM. There is a 100% chance of rain and thunderstorms, a few thunderstorms may be severe on the leading edge of a new band of increasing thunderstorms from late morning into the early afternoon.  An additional 1″ to 2″ of rain is possible with a flooding risk continuing.  High: 74°

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  There will be some moderation today, so we would appreciate it if everyone follows the rules and we continue this great place to share in this weather experience.  Have a great day!  Here is the link to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation or read the comments:  Weather2020 Blog

Gary

Now to Storm #2

Good Sunday bloggers,

Storm #1 produced 1″ to 3″ of rain across the area. Scattered showers will end this morning, leading to a decent afternoon. The next storm arrives Monday evening and exits Tuesday evening and we are now in a Flash Flood Watch for this storm.

The next storm is now bringing an unseasonable amount of rain and snow to California. Downtown Los Angeles has already seen over .50″ from the last storm and this storm. They average around .25″ for the whole month of May. The storm system will drop into the southwest USA tonight and it will induce deep tropical air to surge north into the Plains over a large cool air mass. This will create widespread very heavy rain and severe thunderstorms.

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Here is a large Flash Flood Watch that is in effect Monday evening through Tuesday evening. It extends from Dodge City to Omaha to Kirksville.

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There is a moderate to most likely high risk for severe weather later Monday from western Oklahoma to southwest Texas. We are on the northeast edge of the severe threat as we will be in the cool air. Some larger hail is possible later tomorrow night around here.

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SUNDAY: It will be a nice afternoon with highs in the 60s. The EOI (Eat Outside Index) will be near a 10 this evening as the wind will be 5-15 mph from the west and northwest along with abundant sunshine. The cold front that moves through this morning will be stalling across far south and west Texas.

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MONDAY MORNING: We will be dry with lows in the low to mid 40s as deep tropical moisture surges north over the large cool air mass sitting over the Plains. This will create a very large area of rain and thunderstorms from northeast Colorado to southwest Texas.

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MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING: The large area of rain and thunderstorms will enter eastern Kansas and western Missouri during the evening. We will see highs in the 50s to low 60s. A severe weather outbreak will be taking place from western Oklahoma to southwest Texas in between the warm front and dry line.

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MONDAY NIGHT: There will be a zone of tremendous rain and thunderstorms from eastern Kansas to northern Missouri as the warm front gets closer. Right now it looks like the I-35 corridor is the target.  This could still shift west or east up to 100 miles. In the tremendous zone flash flooding WILL be a problem. “TURN AROUND DON’T DROWN.”  Also, some thunderstorms may contain large hail in any location. Temperatures will hold in the 50s to near 60°.

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TUESDAY: This is going to be a weird weather day as the strong storm in the southwest USA lifts northeast very intensely across the Plains. The big thunderstorms from Monday night will lift into Iowa and Nebraska. There may be a brief break as the warm front surges through. As the warm front is surging through, a cold front will be catching up with a rapidly moving dry line. This will create a narrow warm sector over our area during the middle of the day. A new line of thunderstorms will be found on the dry line/cold front. They will likely be heavy, but what about severe? That will depend on how warm the warm sector becomes. There will not be much time for warming. Now, locations to the east may be a different story. Highs may reach the low to mid 70s briefly with 50s before and after.

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ADDITIONAL RAINFALL FORECAST NEXT 10 DAYS: 4″ to 10″ of rain is likely and the zone of heaviest rain tomorrow night will play a role in who sees the most the next 10 days. Now, the events Wednesday night into the weekend could bring some insane totals as well. So, 4″ to 10″ may be underdone!

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It is not just the rain around here, but a decent amount of rain is possible over the Missouri and Mississippi river basins. So, we will be watching the flash and river flooding potential the next several days and weeks.

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In summary, we have seen around 2″ of rain, officially, so far at KCI. It will be dry this afternoon through Monday afternoon ahead of storm system #2.

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Have a great week, stay safe and watch for flowing water.

Jeff Penner

Active Weather Pattern, Day 1

Good Saturday bloggers,

The active weather pattern we have been talking about has arrived. This is day 1 of about 10-14 where we will see rain and thunderstorms. Flooding is going to be our biggest issue.

The severe thunderstorms in the western Plains Friday evolved into an MCS (Mesoscale Convective System, cluster of rain and thunderstorms) then moved into eastern Kansas and western Missouri this morning. This area is weakening, however, a rapidly increasing area of rain and thunderstorms with a series of waves was travelling up I-35 from Oklahoma and Texas early Saturday. This area and the one already in the region will join forces bringing our region many rounds of rain and thunderstorms through the day. The severe threat is low as the morning rain is keeping temperatures down.

This is a fascinating set up as our thunderstorms move east and weaken, but are about to be joined and energized by a series of thunderstorm producing disturbances from the south.

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SATURDAY 12-6 PM: This is when we have the best chance for widespread rain and thunderstorms. Very heavy downpours will be occurring with the chance of some strong winds and large hail. The severe threat looks low at this time due to cooler air being caused by the morning clouds, showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will be in the 60s to low 70s.

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SATURDAY 6-9 PM: This is when we have the best chance for a break in the rain as the disturbances from Oklahoma and Texas move north. The main storm will be rapidly approaching at this time, so that is why it is tough to say how long the break will last.

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SATURDAY 9 PM-SUNDAY 5 AM: More rounds  of rain and thunderstorms will be likely as the main storm moves by. Much cooler air will be moving in from the northwest.

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SUNDAY: Showers will linger until 7-9 AM, then the rest of the day will be mostly cloudy, dry and cooler with highs in the 60s. The sun should peek out during the afternoon, making for some nice weather. The cold front that sweeps through later tonight will turn into a warm front across the southwest Plains.

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MONDAY: It will be a mostly dry and cool day with lows in the 40s and highs in the 60s. The warm front in the southwest Plains Sunday will be surging north as a strong storm system drops into the southwest USA. This will generate many areas of rain and thunderstorms with very heavy downpours. The severe threat will be low as it will be too cool, but the flooding threat will be high. Oklahoma and Texas will have the best chance of severe weather.

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MONDAY NIGHT: There will be waves of rain and very heavy thunderstorms. Flash flooding is looking like a problem as several inches of rain are possible.

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TUESDAY: The warm front will move by as a dry line pushes out into central Kansas. This may generate a line of thunderstorms. Normally, I would say this will be severe, but the temperatures may not be warm enough due to all of the rain and thunderstorms from the morning. We will need to watch this closely.

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RAINFALL FORECAST NEXT 10 DAYS: There will easily be 5″ to 10″ of rain for most locations. Some will see 10″ to 15″. This data has the heaviest located over southeast Kansas. But, that could end up just about anywhere.

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In summary we are going to have many rounds of rain and thunderstorms the next 10 days. The first storm is for today and tonight, the second is for Monday night and Tuesday, followed by many others.  Flash and river flooding will likely be issues. There will be severe weather risks as well., but it looks like flooding is going to be the main problem for us. “TURN AROUND DON’T DROWN.”

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Stay safe and have a great weekend.

Jeff Penner

A Series Of Wet Storm Systems Is Developing

Good morning bloggers,

An extreme weather event is possible in the next two weeks.  A major flooding event is likely going to materialize over the plains states, and Kansas City is a potential target.  The weather pattern is evolving into one that will produce multiple chances of heavy thunderstorms.  There will likely be a zone that gets hit by each of these storm systems, and given the time of year and moisture available there is a chance of 4 to 6 inch rainfall amounts from smaller scale convective features that form over the plains.  This forecast map just happened to pop up on my screen during the 6 PM newscast after the new GFS came in showing nearly 15″ of rain near KC, and nearly 10″ near Wichita.  Is this really possible, because if it happens, it will be an extreme weather event that would be record breaking.

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Every model I have seen has at least 4″ to 6″ over the next ten days in this region with a 10″ bullseye.  Here is last night’s GFS model:

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Last night’s 06z GFS model had a 20″ bullseye.  It is something to pay close attention to.  What is causing this set up? The LRC!  The weather pattern that set up last fall was a very wet one in this same area. Remember October when 10″ of rain fell in KC?  This is the same pattern now, and we are getting the late May version of this.

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This upper level, 500 mbar, forecast map shows the flow valid tomorrow night. There is a blocking upper high over central Canada that is influencing the jet stream and helping push it way south.  A storm will be ejecting out across Kansas Saturday night.  A more energetic pattern then sets up for early next week:

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A strong jet stream will be intensifying over the eastern Pacific in response to the blocking over Canada.  There is a lot going on here, and the blocking and resulting flow east of the blocking over Canada will provide the conditions for a strong baroclinic zone (frontal zone or temperature contrast) to be maintained near the Kansas/Missouri region for around a week at least.  And, with the moisture available from the warm Gulf of Mexico, the fuel will be available for flooding and severe weather set ups through Tornado Alley.

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The flow by next Friday weakens a bit, but the blocking upper highs are still a major influence, and this will likely keep the front (baroclinic zone) near Kansas and Missouri which will provide the conditions for the generation of more thunderstorm complexes, severe weather risks, and flooding.

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The set up for Monday has our attention for many reasons, but we also have to monitor Saturday closely.  Here are the risks:

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These are the 1, 2, and 4 day severe weather outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center.  There is a lot to discuss here, and today’s risk is way out northwest and southwest of KC allowing us a day to breath and analyze.  I need to do my own in-depth analysis and see how Saturday looks as the new data comes in.  We will update you on 41 Action News tonight, and then in the blog comments on Weather2020.com. Join in the conversation over there.

Have a great day! Thank you for sharing in this weather experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.

Gary

Video Blog Today As The Weather Pattern Heats Up

Good morning bloggers,

A very active pattern is continuing across most of the USA.  Today, I will share my thoughts on the video blog, and then on 41 Action News we will go in-depth as we describe this fascinating weather pattern. Just look at one of the precipitation forecasts for the next two weeks:

fv3p_apcpn_us_64

  • Four feet of snow is likely in the Sierra, NV in late May, which I am not sure has ever happened before?
  • Look at how wide spread the 2″ plus rainfall totals are. The pink shade shows the 2″ or more totals
  • Kansas City is in the 8″+ range, and the rainfall amounts go all the way

Today’s Video Blog:

Kansas City Weather Timeline:

  • Today:  Sunny & Hot.  It will be breezy with southwest winds 15-30 mph.  High:  87° to 90°
  • Tonight:  Clear and staying warm and breezy with south winds 10-20 mph. Low:  65° to 70°
  • Friday:  A few more clouds, very warm, and muggy. South to southwest winds 15-25 mph. High:  87°

We hope you are having fun, learning, and enjoying this weather experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Have a great day!

Gary

Tornado Season Has Only One Month Left

Good morning bloggers,

Traditional Tornado Alley has had a very quiet severe weather season thus far, even though there has been no lack of storm systems and rain.  It has just been too cool thus far.  Iowa has yet to have one tornado in 2019.  And, Kansas City has yet to have a Tornado Watch:

2019_torww_to_date

As you can see above, Tornado Alley has been very quiet when it comes to a lot of things so far this season. And, tornado watches have yet to be issued from Kansas City northward in 2019.  There have been a few severe thunderstorm watches as you can see below, in fact tornado alley is more apparent by looking at the severe thunderstorm watches:

2019_svrww_to_date

Severe Weather Reports as of today:

2019_annual_map_all

This can and likely will change fast in the next two weeks.  Her is the climatology for tornadoes on May 15th:

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Why would I say tornado season has only one month left?  By June 15th, the average position of the jet stream shifts north, and with it the conditions favorable for tornadoes decreases after around the middle of June and shifts into the northern plains.  There are still occasional chances during the summer months, and there are still severe weather risks. It is just that the frequency and strength of tornadoes usually dramatically falls off as summer begins.

The Developing Pattern:

day3otlk_0730

The risk of severe weather over the plains will be increasing Friday into Saturday, and then early next week as well.  The day 3 risk, shown above, still has some big questions surrounding it, and then there are two storm systems that will move out over the plains states with risks shifting north and east, and then backing up to the west as the next storm approaches.

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This surface map above shows Friday’s set up, and the map below shows the set up for Saturday.  This set up would once again have rain cooled air affecting the instability near KC. Now, it is still quite undetermined.

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The Monday storm is looking much more impressive:

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There is some blocking going on over Canada and the jet stream is being forced stronger and farther south.  A series of strong storm systems is about to interact with high humidity, the low level fuel for thunderstorms from the Gulf of Mexico, which will lead to some significant severe weather risks.  I still need another day of analyzing before I get too specific.  Storm chasers are likely flocking out to traditional tornado alley as these set ups approach!

Thank you for sharing in this weather experience. We hope you are enjoying the daily conversation!  Go over to the Weather2020.com blog and let’s track these development.

Gary