If you were up early this morning, you probably experienced a little of that fog. Clouds hung around a tad longer than I expected, but we did manage to clear out afternoon around 1p or so. This, of course, has lead to a slightly humid and warm afternoon. But just you wait, today is the coolest day of the next 7!
Nice looking satellite image taken about an hour or so ago.
You can see a line of storms along the Arkansas & Missouri line. You can also see a few storm clouds in Northern Nebraska, as well as along the Kansas & Colorado line. At this time, I do not expect the rain to hold together (that’s in Western Kansas) and make it to the KC area. Model guidance suggests it gets to about Topeka and then –gasp, shock: surprisingly– falls apart.
The HRRR depicts the radar as looking like this at 10p:
But by 3am, this is how the radar would look (if the HRRR is 100% correct):
So at this time, I am not optimistic about rain impacting us tonight. We do have chances for overnight Monday into Tuesday and again Tuesday night into Wednesday. At this time, those odds do not look terribly impressive to me either, but some WILL see rain. Just a matter of if it will be your backyard, or someone else’s backyard.
Looking over the temperature data for the week ahead, I have been conservative in my forecast. Guidance is suggest highs in the middle to upper 90s from Wednesday through Saturday. Since we have had trouble warming up this year, and we still have a wet ground in place, I hesitate to push temperatures warmer. That said, with this setup I’m expecting (the big high pressure building over us, winds turning a bit more to the Southwest), it would be the best chance we’ve seen all summer to truly heat up. Prep the swimming pools and load up on the ice cream…before it melts.
Right now, there are signals that the heat will break by Sunday/Monday of next week. So like we’ve seen all Summer long, the hot stretch won’t last too long. However, this may be the hottest few days in a row we’ve seen since last year. The team will continue to track all of this and keep you updated!
Enjoy the week ahead & be sure to follow along with me on Twitter and Facebook.
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